Taylor G. Lunt

I read If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (IABIED) and nodded along like everyone else, mostly agreeing with the argument but having minor quibbles about the details or the approach. However, I was recently thinking, "how in support of an AI pause am I, actually?" The authors of IABIED were pretty convincing, but I also know I have different estimates of AI timelines and p(doom) than the authors d...

Let's set aside the question of whether or not superintelligent AI would want to kill us, and just focus on the question of whether or not it could. This is a hard thing to convince people of, but lots of very smart people agree that it could. The Statement on AI Risk in 2023 stated simply: Since the statement in 2023, many others have given their reasons for why superintelligent AI would be dange...

I tried playing the new Claude 4.5 model in a game of chess. It did really poorly. It played a coherent opening and was difficult to play against for the first ten or fifteen moves, then everything fell apart and it started blundering and even making some illegal moves. Exactly what you'd expect from an AI model that has memorized a bunch of stuff, but can't do its own deep thinking very well at a...